As the president waits for Congress to act, Putin makes overtures to Syria to turn over any chemical weapons they might have…and Syria agrees in theory. By not using unilateral action against Syria the president has shown marked restraint for someone so willing to commit us to war and wait for the evidence to be presented to the Congress for their opinion.
Congress will vote it down, if it ever reaches that point. The majority of the House is against action in pre-vote polling, and the Senate wasn’t going to be an easy task, and the president’s party is the majority in the Senate. So why all the possibility of denying him the opportunity to strike another country?
The best guess scenario is two-fold. One, there was no hard evidence of who use the chemical weapons against the Syrians. We know that Syrians had been killed, but intelligence could neither confirm nor deny that the rebels or the government had actively engaged in the use of WMD. It doesn’t matter that we know there are thousands of tons of chemical weapons in Syria, without some kind of real indicator, nothing should have been done. Two, Putin acted as a go between to proctor a way out of the stalemate that lets everyone save face and no shots have to be exchanged. This helps Putin as well, because even with Obama as President, no one wants to get into a pissing match with the United States. Our military is second to none, and their ability to drop bombs on target is uncannily accurate.
When this is all done we may actually have to thank Putin for finding a way out of all this mess without getting us involved in another shooting war, no matter how limited, in the middle east. God that place is a shit hole.
Finally, there is newly released intelligence from a German newspaper that Assad repeatedly rejected requests to use chemical weapons. This would be in keeping with someone who was winning the two-year ongoing civil war, and wanted to keep his regime, as everyone knows the employment of WMD usually attracts the ire of the United States and the impotent whining of the U.N. goading us into attack.
But evidence against Assad described as common sense by White House Chief of Staff, because we know he has the weapons and the delivery vehicles, is thin and circumstantial at best, which is why the president needed Congress to sign off on his next war.
Funny, I remember in 2008 when Obama was running for office he was so anti-war, anti-conflict in the middle east; a bunch of people I knew were going to break with their beliefs and vote for him and other democrats because if they did we would be out of Iraq, Afghanistan, and everywhere else in a matter of months after the election. I guess that didn’t work out. Instead we took an additional three-four years to leave Iraq, I haven’t heard a peep about the draw down in Afghanistan since right before the most recent election. Oh and we destabilized Libya, then let them kill our citizens at the diplomatic mission, leaving those people to die and worse, and now we want to bomb Syria.
We might actually need David Copperfield to pull this one off without some inadvertent shooting.